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Typhoon Hagupit (Ruby) - 05 Dec 2014

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Typhoon Hagupit (Ruby), Dec. 5, 2014
BLUF – Implications to PACOM
Dept. of Foreign Affairs of the Government of the Philippines
(GOP) has formally requested assistance from the U.S. (RP DFA
RFA). However, there has been no State of Calamity from GOP.
 DOD capabilities most likely to be requested include:
o Medium to heavy helicopter lift support
o Fixed wing lift support
o Surface and Airborne Maritime Search and Rescue
(SAR)
o Transportation and logistics support
o ISR Support
o Debris clearing at airports and ports
o Logistics support
o Water purification
o Generators and fuel
o Assessment support
o Information dissemination platforms
o Communications in affected areas
Key Concerns & Trends
•
GOP says the size of Hagupit (600 km front) means
about 50 million people (nearly half the total population) are
vulnerable (AFP)
•
Main impacts expected are heavy rainfall, flooding,
storm surges (up to 4.5 meter high, or roughly one-story high,
according to PAGASA. Haiyan brought two-story high surges)
and debris flows.
•
Around 500,000 people (100,000 families) are in
evacuation centers as of Friday night. In eastern Bicol, GOP
aiming to move 2.5 million into evacuation centers. (AFP,
PhilStar)
•
National weather bureau PAGASA says 47 provinces
remain on the list of “Potential High Risk Areas” (GMA)
•
There has been no official State of Calamity from the
GOP.
Typhoon Hagupit – Stats & Facts
Summary: As of Friday (Dec. 5) Typhoon Hagupit
(locally known as Ruby), although still a powerful
storm, weakened slightly as it moved towards the
eastern Visayas region. The latest predicted tracks have
Hagupit projected to make landfall between Northern
and Eastern Samar provinces Sunday (December 7)
morning. Hagupit is expected to exit the Philippine
Area of Responsibility on Wednesday morning
(December 10) or afternoon.
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has said the
projected diameter of the storm has decreased from
700 km to 600 km.
Several tracks for the typhoon have been forecasted by
different weather agencies. The above map depicts the
latest JTWC forecast.
National Population: 107,668,231
Potential Affected Population: The GOP estimates up
to 50 million could be affected (AFP), while IOM
reports up to 32 million may be affected (IOM). Haiyan
affected 16 million, displaced 4.1 million, destroyed
and damaged 1.1 million houses.
Affected State
Military
Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) is establishing a Multinational Coordination
Center (MNCC) at Camp Aguinaldo in Quezon City. AFP should be currently capable of
providing assistance as requested by NDRMCC. If the storm impact increases requirements
for evacuation, assessments, and delivery of relief supplies, AFP resources may be
insufficient.
Civilian
GOP beginning response under eight response clusters according to the National Disaster
Response Plan for Hydro-meteorological hazards released on 20 October 2014. They
include: (a) Camp Coordination and Camp Management, Protection and Emergency Shelter;
(b) Food and Non-Food Items; (c) Logistics; (d) Emergency Telecommunications; (e)
Search, Rescue and Retrieval; (f) Health; (g) Management of the Dead and Missing; and (h)
Education. The “response cluster” is led by a government department supported by HCT
member agencies that co-lead key sectors within a “response cluster.”
A Humanitarian Civil-Military Coordination Centre will be established and co-located in
the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council's (NDRRMC) operation
center to support response operations including the use of military assets to deliver relief
supplies.
In a briefing organized by the HCT, it was reported that the Department of Health,
currently does not require additional support from international medical teams and
donation of medicines should be coordinated and registered. (OCHA)
Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) is the Philippine Government’s
lead agency for food, shelter, non-food items and camp management. DSWD continues to
preposition relief goods at Local Government Units (LGU) and helping to facilitate
evacuation of families in vulnerable areas. A total of 10,250 sacks of 50-kg rice and 15,000
boxes of canned goods were delivered to Eastern Samar, Leyte, and Northern Samar. DSWD
coordinating with schools in metro Manila to serve as packing hubs, similar to what was
done for Haiyan.
DSWD has said the department has adequate stockpiles of commodities and standby funds
for relief operations at all levels. Regional DSWD Quick Response Teams are on alert to
assess and monitor the storm and to assist the LGUs. DSWD is also working in close
coordination with the AFP, Philippine National Police (PNP) and volunteers. (DSWD)
There are 120 evacuation centers in Eastern Visayas and CARAGA, currently serving 6,293
families, or 30,494 individuals. (AFP) Albay province has begun evacuating 128,000
families. An additional 37,000 will also be evacuated due to Lahar and mudflow threats
from Mayon Volcano. (PhilStar)
The National Food Authority (NFA), has positioned 50,000 50-kilogram bags of rice for
emergency use. (PhilStar)
Humanitarians
Philippine National Red Cross (PRC): The PRC’s Operations Centre (OpCen) has put on
standby Water Search and Rescue Teams (WASAR), Red Cross Action Teams (RCAT), nurses
and volunteers. The OpCen continuously disseminates, through SMS and emails, weather
bulletins and consolidated data from PAGASA and other sources to different chapters likely
to be affected. PRC NHQ is also maintaining close coordination with the NDRRMC. (PRC)
International Humanitarians
The GOP has called on international partners working on rehabilitation and recovery in
Haiyan-affected areas to continue with the effort under the leadership of the Office of the
Presidential Assistant for Rehabilitation and Recovery (OPARR) and not divert resources for
Hagupit response. (OCHA)
Humanitarian Country Team (HCT): The HCT will convene a response planning meeting
on 6 December.
U.N. Agencies
U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), U.N. Disaster
Assessment and Coordination (UNDAC) system and U.N. agencies are on stand-by and
ready to deploy if request for assistance is made. (VOSOCC)
UNICEF: UNICEF Tacloban office (established after Haiyan, 75 staff members) helping local
government to prepare. Pre-positioned supplies are ready to be deployed from the main
Copenhagen warehouse and local warehouses in Manila, Leyte and Cotabato. Emergency
supplies in-country estimated to be enough for at least 10,000 families. (UNICEF)
International NGOs
Handicap International (HI): HI is on the ground (est. staff of 190) and active in Manila,
Tacloban, and Roxas. HI teams are helping to make arrangements to evacuate people,
preparing stocks, and logistics equipment to help clear roads. (HI)
HelpAge International: HelpAge is setting up help desks in evacuation centers and
broadcasting messages to older populations. Local field offices in Medellin, Ormoc and
Tacloban have ceased operations ahead of the storm. HelpAge plans to do rapid
assessments in areas staff members are already present. (HelpAge)
International Organization for Migration (IOM): IOM working closely with DSWD during
evacuations, with coordination occurring in Manila. IOM teams are present in Roxas, Ormoc,
Tacloban and Guiuan. IOM has prepositioned emergency supplies including 5,000 hygiene
kits, 10,000 tarps and 3,500 repair kits. (IOM)
Oxfam: Oxfam’s rapid assessment teams in-country are on standby. Oxfam also preparing
household water kits, hygiene kits, and sleeping mats and blankets. (Oxfam)
Gap analysis
International humanitarians that are in country assisting with Typhoon Haiyan response
may potentially be in the track of Typhoon Hagupit and therefore may become victims
themselves during Typhoon Hagupit. With multiple forecasted tracks, it is difficult to
project which NGOs and other humanitarian agencies would be able to assist with the
Hagupit response.
Assisting States
There has been no official State of Calamity from the GOP.
Civilian
The Government has activated a “One-Stop-Shop” at the Cebu International Airport in order
to expedite the customs procedure for humanitarian organizations bringing relief goods
into the country. Cities of Davao, Cagayan de Oro, Butuan and Koronadal in Mindanao will
serve as hubs to assemble relief packages for response clusters. (OCHA)
Military
In-country military assets from the United States and Australia are on standby to provide
support if required according to the GOP Office of Civil Defense. (OCHA)
Main sources used for this report:
Republic of Philippines Department of Social Welfare and Development
http://www.dswd.gov.ph/
NDRRMC Updates
http://www.ndrrmc.gov.ph/
Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Super Typhoon Hagupit Warning
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2214.gif
OCHA Situation Report No. 1 (5 December 2014)
http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/OCHAPhilippinesTyphoon
HagupitSituationReportNo.1.5December2014.pdf
Virtual OSOCC
http://vosocc.unocha.org
Various NGO updates
http://reliefweb.int/country/phl
1/--pages
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